Prediction Market related articles
The market doesn’t care about your narrative. It cares about settlement. And ...
The code didn’t show panic. It showed an equation: 0.8% probability for an...
We didn't expect a fire in southern Russia to become a DeFi trade. But it did...
Hook When the first reports of a military strike against Iran hit the wire at...
Polymarket shows a 47.5% probability that the Clarity Act will pass. That...
A single number floats through the data feed: 6.5% probability that oil price...
Over the past four weeks, Kalshi registered over $400 billion in notional bet...
The headline is intoxicating: blockchain prediction markets captured 27% of...
The headline screamed "Iran intensifies missile attacks on US bases." I...
On July 22, a prediction market priced a 62.5% probability of a Gulf military...
Polymarket's 'Ukraine reclaims Crimea by 2026' contract sits at 9.5%. The...
On March 27, 2026, the United States launched airstrikes on Iran's Hormozgan...
Prediction markets currently place a 7.5% probability on the US imposing a...
On an ordinary Tuesday afternoon, while most of the crypto world was watching...
Hook In the quiet hours between headlines, a number lingers like a ghost in t...
The race wasn’t even close. Polymarket’s “Strait of Hormuz ship traffic zero ...
China just hit its lowest oil import level since 2016. Behind the macro...
The pixel wasn't a political forecast. It was a liquidity signal dressed in r...
Kalshi, the CFTC-regulated prediction market, currently prices a contract wit...
Polymarket gives Bitcoin a 0.4% chance of touching $82,500 by July. That is n...
Check the calldata, not the headline. On July 15, Blockchain.com announced a...
Hook (160 words) When a regulated prediction market steps out of the...
A paradox landed on my desk this morning. In a trustless system, the most...